GGOALVIO

Brazil · Capixaba B · 9/27/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Serra Talhada · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Linhares are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Serra Talhada are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Serra Talhada hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (81.9 v 86.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.2% in the Capixaba B, while Serra Talhada holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Serra Talhada

Probability

48.2%

Model confidence

48.2%

Serra Talhada has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LinharesDLWLD

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Serra TalhadaWWWLW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LinharesSerra Talhada
72.2Attack100.0
94.4Defence80.0
83.3Form90.0
81.9Power86.1
1.15xG1.77
View match centre →