Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linhares · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Linhares are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Forte FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Linhares hold a 20.6-point power-rating edge (81.9 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the Capixaba B, while Linhares holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Linhares
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Linhares has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60