Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linhares · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Linhares are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Doze are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Linhares hold a 15.4-point power-rating edge (78.8 v 63.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Capixaba B, while Linhares holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Linhares
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
13.3%
Linhares has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80