GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/16/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Linfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Linfield are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Kalju Nomme are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kalju Nomme hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.9% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Linfield holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Linfield

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

35.9%

Linfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LinfieldLLLWL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Kalju NommeWWDDL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LinfieldKalju Nomme
33.3Attack58.3
50.0Defence33.3
16.7Form58.3
36.5Power53.0
1.55xG1.52
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