Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Linfield are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Glentoran are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Linfield hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (70.2 v 56.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.5% in the Premiership, while Linfield holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Linfield
Probability
53.1%
Model confidence
11.5%
Linfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20