Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Linfield are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Doncaster are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 74.0 against 72.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Linfield holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Linfield
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
9.8%
Linfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20