Linfieldvs
Ballymena United
COMPLETEDNorthern-Ireland · Premiership · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linfield · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Linfield are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ballymena United are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ballymena United hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Premiership, while Linfield holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Linfield
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Linfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00