Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Linero · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Linero are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Karlshamn are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Linero hold a 27.3-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 26.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.3% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Linero holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Linero
Probability
79.3%
Model confidence
79.3%
Linero has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80