Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Berga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Linero are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Berga are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Berga hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 61.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.5% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Berga holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Berga
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Berga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20