Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Smedby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lindo FF are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Smedby are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Smedby hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 59.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.3% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Smedby holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Smedby
Probability
53.3%
Model confidence
53.3%
Smedby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40