GGOALVIO

Norway · Eliteserien · 8/9/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lillestrom are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Rosenborg are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and lillestrom hold a 8.4-point power-rating edge (55.2 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Eliteserien, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

28.4%

Model confidence

13.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LillestromLLWWL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RosenborgLWWWD

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
LillestromRosenborg
48.9Attack46.7
60.0Defence53.3
55.6Form40.0
55.2Power46.8
1.52xG1.00
View match centre →