GGOALVIO

Norway · Toppserien · 6/13/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fortuna Ålesund W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Lillestrøm are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Fortuna Ålesund W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fortuna Ålesund W hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 73.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.6% in the Toppserien, while Fortuna Ålesund W holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fortuna Ålesund W

Probability

69.6%

Model confidence

69.6%

Fortuna Ålesund W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LillestrømWWWWL

GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Fortuna Ålesund WLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LillestrømFortuna Ålesund W
50.0Attack80.6
41.7Defence63.9
38.9Form77.8
43.8Power73.0
1.07xG2.84
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