GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/22/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Liège · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Liège are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while St. Truiden are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Liège hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Liège holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Liège

Probability

49.0%

Model confidence

49.0%

Liège has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LiègeWDLLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
St. TruidenWWWWW

GF 17 · GA 2 · avg 3.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
LiègeSt. Truiden
85.7Attack50.0
61.9Defence57.1
81.0Form57.1
77.2Power55.6
2.29xG1.13
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