Liègevs
Francs Borains
SCHEDULEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 8/17/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Liège · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Liège are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Francs Borains are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Liège hold a 13.2-point power-rating edge (54.9 v 41.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Challenger Pro League, while Liège holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Liège
Probability
60.9%
Model confidence
10.6%
Liège has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00