Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lidingö are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Gute are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Gute hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.5% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Gute holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gute
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
42.5%
Gute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60