Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Falu BS · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Lidingö are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Falu BS are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Falu BS hold a 22.9-point power-rating edge (36.7 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.0% in the Division 2 - Norra Svealand, while Falu BS holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Falu BS
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Falu BS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20