Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lida · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Lida are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Gomel II are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lida hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 42.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.0% in the 1. Division, while Lida holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lida
Probability
56.0%
Model confidence
56.0%
Lida has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60