Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lida · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lida are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bumprom are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lida hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (58.8 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.3% in the 1. Division, while Lida holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lida
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Lida has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00