Libertadvs
Universidad Catolica
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 8/10/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Libertad are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.9% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Universidad Catolica
Probability
48.8%
Model confidence
18.9%
Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20