GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 8/10/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Universidad Catolica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Libertad are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Universidad Catolica are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Universidad Catolica hold a 12.2-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 61.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.9% in the Liga Pro, while Universidad Catolica holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Universidad Catolica

Probability

48.8%

Model confidence

18.9%

Universidad Catolica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LibertadWWWLW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Universidad CatolicaWDWWW

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LibertadUniversidad Catolica
34.8Attack55.1
62.3Defence72.5
43.5Form56.5
49.0Power61.1
0.59xG1.17
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