Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Libertad · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Libertad are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Orense SC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Liga Pro, while Libertad holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Libertad
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Libertad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60