GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/7/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Libertad are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mushuc Runa SC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.3 against 48.4. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.2%

Model confidence

38.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LibertadDDLWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mushuc Runa SCWLDLD

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LibertadMushuc Runa SC
36.1Attack42.7
62.5Defence54.7
45.8Form42.7
50.3Power48.4
1.06xG0.87
View match centre →