GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Libertad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while LDU de Quito are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and LDU de Quito hold a 2.5-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.5%

Model confidence

47.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LibertadLDWLW

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LDU de QuitoLWWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
LibertadLDU de Quito
36.1Attack31.9
62.5Defence72.2
45.8Form48.6
50.3Power52.8
0.64xG0.66
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