Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Libertad · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Libertad are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Delfin SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (50.3 v 42.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 26.9% in the Liga Pro, while Libertad holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Libertad
Probability
40.6%
Model confidence
26.9%
Libertad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00