Libertad Asuncionvs
Rosario Central
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 4/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Libertad Asuncion are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Rosario Central are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rosario Central hold a 15.6-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 67.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.8% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 15% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40