GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Libertadores · 4/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Libertad Asuncion · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Libertad Asuncion are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertad Asuncion hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (52.3 v 45.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, while Libertad Asuncion holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Libertad Asuncion

Probability

42.4%

Model confidence

42.4%

Libertad Asuncion has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Libertad AsuncionLLWLW

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente del ValleWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Libertad AsuncionIndependiente del Valle
29.2Attack44.4
75.0Defence38.9
45.8Form44.4
52.3Power45.2
1.15xG0.69
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