GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 6/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lexington · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lexington are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while San Antonio are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and San Antonio hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the USL Championship, while Lexington holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lexington

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Lexington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LexingtonDWLWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
San AntonioWDWWD

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LexingtonSan Antonio
51.9Attack45.6
59.3Defence63.2
51.9Form56.1
54.8Power57.5
1.22xG1.03
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