Lexingtonvs
Rhode Island
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 4/11/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lexington · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Lexington are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rhode Island are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 53.2 against 52.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the USL Championship, while Lexington holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lexington
Probability
35.8%
Model confidence
35.8%
Lexington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60