GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/22/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lexington · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lexington are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Oakland Roots are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 45.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.3% in the USL Championship, while Lexington holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lexington

Probability

51.3%

Model confidence

51.3%

Lexington has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LexingtonLLWDW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Oakland RootsLLWDD

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LexingtonOakland Roots
51.9Attack41.7
59.3Defence51.7
51.9Form36.7
54.8Power45.9
1.66xG0.90
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