LexingtonvsMonterey Bay

Lexington are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Monterey Bay are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington hold a 19.2-point power-rating edge (54.8 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.7% in the USL Championship, while Lexington holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.