LexingtonvsForward Madison

Lexington are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Forward Madison are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Lexington hold a 14.6-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 34.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the USL League One Cup, while Lexington holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.