GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/18/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hastings United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Lewes are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hastings United are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Hastings United hold a 41.7-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 71.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Hastings United holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hastings United

Probability

41.1%

Model confidence

41.1%

Hastings United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LewesLDLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hastings UnitedLLDDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LewesHastings United
11.1Attack100.0
55.6Defence50.0
11.1Form66.7
29.5Power71.2
1.41xG1.93
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