GGOALVIO

Bulgaria · First League · 8/7/2026, 6:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Levski Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Levski Sofia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Levski Sofia hold a 51.4-point power-rating edge (87.9 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the First League, while Levski Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Levski Sofia

Probability

64.2%

Model confidence

64.2%

Levski Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Levski SofiaWWDWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Lokomotiv PlovdivLWLWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Levski SofiaLokomotiv Plovdiv
75.0Attack16.7
83.3Defence58.3
100.0Form25.0
87.9Power36.6
1.81xG0.64
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