Levski Sofiavs
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
COMPLETEDBulgaria · First League · 8/7/2026, 6:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Levski Sofia · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Levski Sofia are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lokomotiv Plovdiv are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Levski Sofia hold a 51.4-point power-rating edge (87.9 v 36.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.2% in the First League, while Levski Sofia holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Levski Sofia
Probability
64.2%
Model confidence
64.2%
Levski Sofia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60