GGOALVIO

Armenia · First League · 8/13/2026, 12:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ararat-Armenia II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lernayin Artsakh are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Ararat-Armenia II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ararat-Armenia II hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the First League, while Ararat-Armenia II holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ararat-Armenia II

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

11.6%

Ararat-Armenia II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Lernayin ArtsakhLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Ararat-Armenia IILLLWL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lernayin ArtsakhArarat-Armenia II
0.0Attack0.0
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form0.0
7.0Power23.7
1.59xG1.61
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