Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Leones FC are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tigres FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tigres FC hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 45.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 30.7% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
30.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80