Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Envigado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Leones FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Envigado are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Envigado hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.6% in the Primera B, while Envigado holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Envigado
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Envigado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80