Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Leones FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Bogota FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bogota FC hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (38.3 v 48.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 31.0% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 21% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.5%
Model confidence
31.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20