Leones del Nortevs
Macara
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 6/1/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Leones del Norte are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Macara are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.8% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00