GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 7/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Leones del Norte are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportivo Cuenca are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Leones del Norte hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 46.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.4% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.4%

Model confidence

43.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones del NorteWWDWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo CuencaLLDWL

GF 1 · GA 6 · avg 0.20/1.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Leones del NorteDeportivo Cuenca
33.3Attack30.6
65.3Defence58.3
44.4Form43.1
49.4Power46.7
0.90xG0.58
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