GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/17/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Leones del Norte are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Aucas are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Aucas hold a 6.6-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Liga Pro, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Leones del NorteLWDLD

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AucasWWWLD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Leones del NorteAucas
33.3Attack40.3
65.3Defence65.3
44.4Form56.9
49.4Power56.0
0.73xG0.78
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