GGOALVIO

Leon logoLeonvsCF Pachuca logoCF Pachuca

COMPLETED

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/2/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CF Pachuca · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leon are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while CF Pachuca are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and CF Pachuca hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 47.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.4% in the Liga MX, while CF Pachuca holds the strongest overall chance at 33% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CF Pachuca

Probability

33.4%

Model confidence

33.4%

CF Pachuca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeonLLWWL

GF 14 · GA 14 · avg 2.80/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
CF PachucaLWWLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LeonCF Pachuca
33.3Attack44.4
55.6Defence66.7
33.3Form33.3
43.7Power47.3
1.25xG1.25
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