Lensvs
Sunderland
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/8/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lens are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sunderland are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring a draw with 10.4% confidence, a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
24.4%
Model confidence
10.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60