GGOALVIO

France · Trophée des Champions · 8/16/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lens · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Lens are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Paris Saint Germain are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Trophée des Champions, while Lens holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lens

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

13.5%

Lens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LensLWLWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Paris Saint GermainDLDLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
LensParis Saint Germain
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24
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