Lensvs
Paris Saint Germain
SCHEDULEDFrance · Trophée des Champions · 8/16/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lens · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Lens are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Paris Saint Germain are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Trophée des Champions, while Lens holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lens
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
13.5%
Lens has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40