Leningradetsvs
Ural
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 7/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ural · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Leningradets are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Ural are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural hold a 32.6-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the First League, while Ural holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ural
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80