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Leningradets logoLeningradetsvsUral logoUral

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Russia · First League · 7/26/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ural · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Leningradets are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Ural are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ural hold a 32.6-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the First League, while Ural holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ural

Probability

53.7%

Model confidence

53.7%

Ural has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeningradetsLLLLD

GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
UralWLDWL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
LeningradetsUral
20.0Attack55.6
46.7Defence88.9
26.7Form61.1
34.5Power67.2
0.65xG1.50
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