GGOALVIO

Russia · First League · 8/1/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Sochi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Leningradets are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FC Sochi are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Sochi hold a 19.3-point power-rating edge (34.5 v 53.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the First League, while FC Sochi holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Sochi

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

FC Sochi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

LeningradetsDLLLL

GF 0 · GA 12 · avg 0.00/2.40

BTTS 0/5O2.5 3/5
FC SochiWLDLW

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
LeningradetsFC Sochi
20.0Attack66.7
46.7Defence53.3
26.7Form46.7
34.5Power53.8
0.95xG1.57
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