LeningradetsvsArsenal Tula

Leningradets are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Arsenal Tula are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Arsenal Tula hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the First League, while Leningradets holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.