Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leixoes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Leixoes are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Vizela are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Leixoes hold a 44.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Leixoes holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leixoes
Probability
50.5%
Model confidence
50.5%
Leixoes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00