Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luunja · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Legion are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Luunja are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Luunja hold a 41.6-point power-rating edge (19.4 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 82.8% in the Esiliiga B, while Luunja holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Luunja
Probability
82.8%
Model confidence
82.8%
Luunja has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 16 · avg 0.40/3.20
GF 18 · GA 11 · avg 3.60/2.20