Legia Warszawavs
Zaglebie Lubin
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 8/2/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Legia Warszawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Legia Warszawa are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Zaglebie Lubin are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa hold a 21.8-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.6% in the Ekstraklasa, while Legia Warszawa holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Legia Warszawa
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Legia Warszawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80