Legia Warszawavs
Radomiak Radom
COMPLETEDPoland · Ekstraklasa · 8/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Legia Warszawa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Legia Warszawa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Radomiak Radom are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Legia Warszawa hold a 35.6-point power-rating edge (72.8 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Ekstraklasa, while Legia Warszawa holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Legia Warszawa
Probability
60.8%
Model confidence
10.9%
Legia Warszawa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20