Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Leganes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Leganes are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Tenerife are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 67.7 against 67.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Leganes holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Leganes
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Leganes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20